Investing: Lessons
- personal995
- May 19, 2024
- 10 min read
Updated: Dec 5, 2024
Index
Introduction
No one, knows everything. We all make mistakes. We are never correct the first time, every time. What was correct yesterday, can often be wrong tomorrow. Continual learning is the only way to progress.
STRATEGY OF ONE does not have all the answers, but it can help minimise missteps. These Lessons are actions, principles, rules of thumb, cautions and cognitive frameworks you can use to help avoid traps and build momentum through each stage of life.
Continually review and take what you need. Absorb the Lessons that align with your Goals, and make them a part of your internal 'operating system'.
Each Lesson has accompanying quotes from great minds that can help us symbolise and remember the Lesson. That way we can more easily draw it from our memory as required.
The portrait that partners each quote is aimed to make you feel accountable. The individual lived, experience and made the effort to share the quote you are benefitting from. Now you can honour them by living up to it in your life and work.
Process
Review these Lessons as and when it best serves you to do so:
Review with the aim of prevention in mind. To avoid having to learn it the hard way yourself.
Review if you are stuck on a specific phase or step.
Review if you are making repetitive errors.
Review if you need inspiration and motivation.
Review if you need to review or reconstruct your Models & Theories.
Review if you are looking for inspiration for Values or Goals.
Absorb and action the Lessons:
Document the next most important Lessons for you to learn in your Action Plan.
Write them in your journal, if you journal.
Screenshot them and save them on your phone or computer background.
But most importantly, put them into action.
Whatever the Lesson you discover that you need to learn, whether positive or negative, it doesn't really matter. Again, what matters is what you do next.
Continually learn, continually improve and move forward.
Lessons
1. Align Investments with Values
Ensure your investment strategy reflects your personal values, aspirations, and long-term goals, fostering a sense of purpose and fulfillment beyond financial returns.
"I don't want to profit from other people's misery."
Charlie Munger, American Investor (1924 - 2023)
2. Focus on Quality
Prioritize investments in high-quality assets, businesses, or properties with strong fundamentals, durable competitive advantages, and sustainable growth prospects to maximize long-term returns and minimize downside risk.
"A great business at a fair price is superior to a fair business at a great price."
Charlie Munger, American Investor (1924 - 2023)
3. Embrace Simplicity
Adopt a simple, straightforward investment approach, avoiding unnecessary complexity and excessive trading to reduce costs, minimize stress, and maintain clarity of purpose.
"Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication."
Leonardo da Vinci, Italian Polymath (1452 - 1519)
4. Stay Disciplined
Remain disciplined in your investment strategy, adhering to a long-term perspective and resisting the temptation to react impulsively to short-term market fluctuations or external noise, fostering emotional resilience and stability.
"The successful warrior is the average man, with laser-like focus."
Bruce Lee, Hong Kong-American Martial Artist (1940 - 1973)
5. Manage Risk Effectively
Assess and manage investment risks prudently, including market risk, inflation risk, and liquidity risk, by considering diversifying your portfolio, maintaining adequate cash reserves, and regularly reviewing your asset allocation.
“Risk comes from not knowing what you are doing.”
Warren Buffett, American Investor (1930 - )
6. Continuously Educate Yourself
Commit to lifelong learning and self-improvement in financial literacy and investment knowledge, staying informed about new opportunities, emerging trends, and best practices to make informed decisions and adapt to changing market conditions.
"An investment in knowledge pays the best interest."
Benjamin Franklin, American Polymath and Statesmen (1706 - 1790)
7. Seek Professional Guidance When Needed
Recognize when to seek guidance from qualified financial advisors or investment professionals, particularly in areas where you lack expertise or face complex financial decisions, leveraging their insights and expertise to enhance your financial well-being.
"Surround yourself with people who are smarter than you."
Howard Marks, American Investor (1946 - )
8. Practice Patience and Persistence
Cultivate patience and persistence in your investment journey, understanding that wealth accumulation is a long-term endeavor requiring perseverance, resilience, and a willingness to learn from both successes and setbacks.
"Patience is bitter, but its fruit is sweet."
Aristotle, Greek Philosopher and Polymath (384 - 322 BCE)
9. Margin of Safety
Prioritize investments with a margin of safety, ensuring a buffer against adverse market conditions or unforeseen events, and protecting capital preservation while maximizing upside potential.
“Benjamin Graham understood that an asset or business worth $1 today could be worth 75 cents or $1.25 in the near future. He also understood that he might even be wrong about today’s value. Therefore Graham had no interest in paying $1 for $1 of value. There was no advantage in doing so, and losses could result. Graham was only interested in buying at a substantial discount from underlying value. By investing at a discount, he knew that he was unlikely to experience losses. The discount provided a margin of safety.”
Seth A. Klarman, American Investor (1958 - )
10. Contrarian Thinking
Cultivate a contrarian mindset and willingness to go against the crowd, seizing opportunities when markets are pessimistic or assets are undervalued, and avoiding herd mentality or speculative behavior driven by market euphoria.
"Be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful."
Warren Buffett, American Investor (1930 - )
11. Emotional Discipline
Develop emotional discipline and psychological resilience in navigating market fluctuations and investment setbacks, maintaining a rational and disciplined approach grounded in fundamental analysis and long-term perspective.
"Investing is not nearly as difficult as it looks. Successful investing involves doing a few things right and avoiding serious mistakes."
John Bogle, American Investor (1929 - 2019)
12. The Power of Compounding
Maintain a long-term orientation in your investment strategy, avoiding short-term thinking or attempts to time the market, and instead focusing on the compounding power of patient, disciplined investing over time.
"Compound interest is like planting a tree. The earlier you start, the bigger it grows."
Unknown
13. Capital Preservation
Prioritize capital preservation as a fundamental objective of your investment strategy, recognizing the importance of protecting wealth and minimizing drawdowns during market downturns or adverse economic environments.
"Rule No. 1: Never lose money. Rule No. 2: Never forget rule No. 1."
Warren Buffett, American Investor (1930 - )
14. Know Your Circle of Competence
Identify and operate within your circle of competence, focusing on industries, businesses, or investment strategies where you have expertise, understanding, and a competitive advantage, to maximize your chances of success.
"Know thyself."
Socrates, Greek Philosopher (470 - 399 BCE)
15. Emphasize Fundamental Analysis
Prioritize fundamental analysis in your investment research and decision-making process, focusing on factors such as earnings growth, cash flow generation, competitive positioning, and management quality to assess the intrinsic value of assets and make informed investment decisions.
"In the short run, the market is a voting machine, but in the long run, it is a weighing machine."
Benjamin Graham, American Investor (1984 - 1976)
16. Avoid Market Timing
Resist the temptation to engage in market timing or short-term trading strategies, recognizing the difficulty of consistently predicting market movements and the potential costs of transaction fees, taxes, and emotional stress associated with frequent trading.
"Time in the market is better than timing the market."
Unknown
17. Be Opportunistic
Cultivate patience and opportunism in your investment approach, waiting for attractive opportunities to arise and seizing them when market conditions are favorable, rather than succumbing to pressure to invest hastily or follow the crowd.
"The stock market is designed to transfer money from the Active to the Patient."
Warren Buffett, American Investor (1930 - )
18. Stay Rational Amidst Market Noise
Maintain a rational and objective mindset amidst market noise, avoiding emotional reactions to short-term volatility or external events, and making investment decisions based on thorough analysis, disciplined reasoning, and a long-term perspective.
"The investor's chief problem - and even his worst enemy - is likely to be himself."
Benjamin Graham, American Investor (1984 - 1976)
19. Stay Humble and Learn from Mistakes
Remain humble and introspective in your investment journey, acknowledging mistakes, learning from failures, and adapting your approach to improve your investment process and outcomes over time.
"It's fine to celebrate success, but it is more important to heed the lessons of failure."
Bill Gates, American Businessman (1955 - )
By reviewing these lessons above you can gain inspiration, seek clarity, deepen your awareness of where you can improve and compound your results moving forward.
Cautionary Lessons
1. Speculation
Avoid excessive speculation or gambling in investments, as it can lead to significant losses and financial distress, undermining your long-term financial security and well-being.
"The stock market is filled with individuals who know the price of everything, but the value of nothing."
Philip Fisher, American Investor (1907 - 2004)
2. Chasing Fads and Trends
Beware of chasing fads, trends, or hot investment opportunities without conducting thorough research and analysis, as they often prove to be short-lived and speculative, resulting in poor investment outcomes and missed opportunities for long-term wealth accumulation.
"Bull markets go to people’s heads. If you’re a duck on a pond, and it’s rising due to a downpour, you start going up in the world. But you think it’s you, not the pond."
Charlie Munger, American Businessman (1924 - 2023)
3. Lack of Due Diligence
Failing to conduct proper due diligence on investment opportunities, including thorough research, analysis, and assessment of risks and potential returns, can lead to uninformed decisions and investments in unsuitable or fraudulent schemes.
"Distrust and caution are the parents of security."
Benjamin Franklin, American Polymath and Statesmen (1706 - 1790)
4. Emotional Decision-Making
Allowing emotions, such as envy, fear, greed, or FOMO (fear of missing out), to drive investment decisions can lead to impulsive actions, poor judgment, and irrational behavior, undermining your investment success and financial well-being.
“Being rational is a moral imperative. You should never be stupider than you need to be.”
Charlie Munger, American Investor (1924 - 2023)
5. High Fees and Expenses
Be cautious of high fees and expenses associated with certain investment products, such as actively managed funds or complex financial instruments, as they can erode returns and diminish your overall investment performance over time.
"When a man with money meets a man with experience, the man with experience leaves with money and the man with money leaves with experience."
Fred Schwed Jr. American Stockbroker and Author (1902 - 1966)
6. Overleveraging and Debt
Excessive use of leverage or borrowing to finance investments can amplify losses and increase financial risk, potentially leading to financial instability, bankruptcy, or foreclosure, and jeopardizing your overall financial health.
"Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent."
John Maynard Keynes, English Economist (1883 - 1946)
7. Lack of Accountability and Responsibility
Failing to take accountability and responsibility for investment decisions and outcomes can lead to a lack of ownership, passive investing, and reliance on others for financial advice, undermining your ability to achieve financial independence and autonomy over time.
"In the end, we are our choices."
Jeff Bezos, American Businessman (1964 - )
8. Overconfidence Bias
Be wary of overestimating your knowledge, skills, or ability to predict future market movements accurately, as overconfidence can lead to excessive risk-taking, poor decision-making, and significant losses.
"The first principle is that you must not fool yourself, and you are the easiest person to fool."
Richard Feynman, American theoretical physicist (1918 - 1988)
9. Confirmation Bias
Guard against seeking out information that confirms preexisting beliefs or biases while disregarding contradictory evidence, as confirmation bias can lead to selective perception, flawed analysis, and misguided investment decisions.
"It is the peculiar and perpetual error of the human understanding to be more moved and excited by affirmatives than by negatives."
Francis Bacon, English Statesman (1561 - 1626)
10. Herd Mentality
Beware of succumbing to herd mentality or following the crowd in investment decisions, as herd behavior can lead to irrational exuberance, speculative bubbles, and eventual market corrections or crashes.
"The stock market is the story of cycles and of the human behavior that is responsible for overreactions in both directions."
Seth A. Klarman, American Investor (1958 - )
11. Loss Aversion
Recognize the tendency to fear losses more than gains and avoid taking necessary risks to achieve long-term investment success, as loss aversion can lead to overly conservative investment strategies and missed opportunities for wealth accumulation.
“If owning stocks is a long-term project for you, following their changes constantly is a very, very bad idea. It's the worst possible thing you can do, because people are so sensitive to short-term losses. If you count your money every day, you'll be miserable.”
Daniel Kahneman, Israeli-American Psychologist (1934 - 2024)
12. Anchoring Bias
Be cautious of fixating on specific reference points or past performance when making investment decisions, as anchoring bias can lead to irrational valuation judgments, unrealistic expectations, and poor portfolio management.
"Anchoring or focalism is a cognitive bias that describes the common human tendency to rely too heavily on the first piece of information offered (the 'anchor') when making decisions."
Daniel Kahneman, Israeli-American Psychologist (1934 - 2024)
13. Gambler's Fallacy
Avoid falling prey to the gambler's fallacy, which erroneously assumes that past events influence future outcomes in random processes, as it can lead to misplaced confidence in market trends or patterns and reckless investment behavior.
"Investing should be more like watching paint dry or watching grass grow. If you want excitement, take $800 and go to Las Vegas."
Paul Samuelson, American Economist (1915 - 2009)
14. Sunk Cost Fallacy
Guard against the sunk cost fallacy, which involves continuing to invest resources in a losing position or failing project based on past investments, rather than evaluating future prospects objectively and cutting losses when necessary.
"Throwing good money after bad is an old and proven mistake."
Paul Samuelson, American Economist (1915 - 2009)
15. Recency Bias
Be mindful of the tendency to overweight recent events or performance when making investment decisions, as recency bias can lead to short-term thinking, impulsive actions, and overlooking long-term trends or fundamentals.
"People tend to assess the relative importance of issues by the ease with which they are retrieved from memory—and this is largely determined by the extent of coverage in the media."
Daniel Kahneman, Israeli-American Psychologist (1934 - 2024)
16. Narrative Fallacy
Be cautious of constructing narratives or stories to explain past investment outcomes, as the narrative fallacy can lead to hindsight bias, oversimplification of complex events, and misguided expectations about future market behavior, future investment performance or your own abilities.
"Narrative fallacies arise inevitably from our continuous attempt to make sense of the world."
Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Lebanese-American Mathematical Statistician (1960 - )
By reviewing these cautionary lessons above you can heed their warning adjust to suit, deepen your awareness of where you can improve and compound your results moving forward.
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